Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats

The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves meet for a possible Western Conference playoff preview.

Denver is 2-2 this season and has won two straight OT games after two straight losses. The Nuggets defeated the Raptors 127-125 in OT and the Nets 144-139 in OT. Denver had two days off before this matchup to focus on the final matchup of a three-game road trip.

Minnesota is 2-2 and is coming off a 120-114 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. This is the final game of a three-game home stretch for Minnesota and like Denver, they had two days off, so the rest is neutral. Anthony Edwards had 37 points last game, but 24 of them came in the first quarter.

With that said, let's dive into the matchup and offer some information and maybe a sweat or two.

We've got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest on how to secure your first pick, projected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, tips and best bets for the game our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Details and how to watch Nuggets @ Timberwolves

● Date: Friday, November 1, 2024
● Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
● Location: Target center
● City: Minnesota, MN
● TV/Streaming: ESPN

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Nuggets @ Timberwolves odds

The latest odds from Friday afternoon:
● Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (+150), Minnesota Timberwolves (-180)
● Spread: Minnesota -4 (-110)
● Total: 219.0

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Projected starting lineups for Denver and Minnesota

Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2)

PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Denver Nuggets (2-2)

PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Top betting trends and insights to know ahead of Nuggets @ Timberwolves

• Denver is one of two teams winless ATS (0-4).
• Minnesota is 1-3 ATS this season.
• Both Denver and Minnesota are 2-2 in the over/under.
• Denver went 29-29-1 ATS at neutral last year.
• Minnesota was 28-30 ATS at neutral last year.
• Denver was 7-6 ATS on the road as an underdog last season and 6-7 in ML, the fifth-best ML in the NBA.
• Minnesota was the home favorite last season, going 17-26-1 ATS.
• Nikola Jokic has recorded a triple-double in two of the last four games.
• Anthony Edwards scored 24 or more points in four straight games.
• Rudy Gobert has grabbed 11 or more rebounds in three of four games.

Notable player props for Nuggets @ Timberwolves

High point props

Nikola Jokic O/U 27.5 points
Anthony Edwards O/U 26.5 points
Julius Randle O/U 20.5 points
Jamal Murray O/U 18.5 points

Highest rebound props

Rudy Gobert O/U 11.5 rebounds
Nikola Jokic O/U 11.5 rebounds
Julius Randle O/U 6.5 rebounds
Michael Porter Jr O/U 5.5 rebounds
Aaron Gordon O/U 5.5 rebounds

Highest assist props

Nikola Jokic O/U 7.5 assists
Jamal Murray O/U 4.5 assists
Mike Conley O/U 4.5 assists
Anthony Edwards O/U 4.5 assists

Expert picks and predictions for Nuggets @ Timberwolves

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NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Russell Westbrook surpassing his 6.5 rebounds + assists against Minnesota:

“Westbrook is averaging 5.3 potential assists per game and 6.0 rebound chances per game, so at first glance getting more than seven rebounds and assists combined in 11.3 chances isn't a good bet.

However, in the last game, Westbrook had seven potential assists (five converted) while he only had four total rebound chances (one converted). His assist chances have steadily increased and the chemistry between him and his new teammates will improve. When it comes to rebounding, Westbrook will always struggle around the boards and Denver will need help from the guards when it comes to rebounding against Minnesota.

Westbrook has reached the over two times out of four with this prop, but I like the chances of 20+ minutes and a faster pace when he's in it. With a rebound and assists over 7.5, I would need at least +125 to consider it.”

Here are the best bets our model predicts for the Timberwolves and the Nuggets:

· Money line: NBC Sports finds strength in winning Timberwolves ML (-180)
· Spread: NBC Sports has confidence in Minnesota in terms of distribution
· In total: NBC Sports has little confidence in a game with a total of OVER 218.5 points

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· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)