Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction, 9/23/2024, MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, 23 September 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The Toronto Blue Jays (73-80) will face the Boston Red Sox (76-77) at the Rogers Centre on Monday. Tanner Houck and Bowden Francis are expected to be the pitchers.

Boston has a slugging rate of .427 and has been struck out 1,488 times while issuing 456 walks. They have scored 689 runs batted in and 1,333 hits on the year, and their team batting average is .253. As a team, the Red Sox have hit 292 doubles and hit 189 balls out of the park. They have scored 715 runs while holding a team OBP of .318. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox score 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 10th in baseball.

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The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.11 this season (17th in baseball) and the team has struck out 1,295 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed a total of 187 home runs and 717 runs (23rd in MLB). They have allowed 433 opposing hitters to walk and their FIP as a team is 4.16 so far this year. Boston has allowed 1,293 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 625 earned runs. They have posted a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.26.

Red Sox pitchers have appeared with runners on the field 153 times and have made 180 appearances in high-pressure situations. Relief pitchers have recorded 79 holds this season (16th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.9% and have entered the game in 151 save situations. They have recorded 38 saves this year and wasted 30 of their 68 save opportunities. Relief pitchers have taken on 215 baserunners this year and 34.4% of those runners have crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 497 relief pitchers to the field over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have recorded 4,106 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,354 assists and 109 errors. Their fielding percentage is steady at .980, which ranks 30th in MLB, and they have made 109 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,318 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in baseball.

Houck (23-29 career wins/losses) has a 3.54 FIP while facing 1,784 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 371 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and 140 walks. His ERA is 3.60 (170 ERs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.202. Houck has been on the mound for 425 innings and has 417 Ks during his career.

Toronto has hit 153 home runs and 616 RBIs this season. They have hit 269 doubles, gotten a free base 480 times and scored 647 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have posted a .314 OBP and a .242 team batting average over the course of the season. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .394 and are scoring 4.23 runs per game (19th in the league). They have scored 1,167 runs (25th in the league) and have 1,239 hits.

Toronto's pitchers have allowed 698 runs this year while posting a 4.26 ERA (638 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 200 home runs and allowed 4.66 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have a 1.265 WHIP and 4.46 FIP as a team on the year. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.30 (1,245 strikeouts vs. 470 walks). They rank 15th in baseball as a pitching team with 1,236 total hits allowed.

Toronto's relievers have a 31.3% taken point percentage out of 230 baserunners taken. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped on the mound 121 times in high-pressure situations, in addition to 148 opportunities with baserunners. The Blue Jays have 142 save situations, 82 holds and 21 blown saves. They rank 16th in baseball with a 63.2% save percentage and have sent 514 relievers to the mound this season. Toronto has called relievers into the contest on 57 save opportunities and they have earned 36 saves.

In 12,135 innings pitched, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (8th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have made 116 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in baseball). The Blue Jays have 1,269 assists, 88 errors and have 4,045 putouts on the year.

Francis (career record of 9-5) has compiled a 3.00 earned run average while allowing 6.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.28 and he has faced 529 opposing batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 45 earned runs while maintaining a .910 WHIP and a 3.0 FIP. During his career, Francis has allowed 94 base hits and collected 124 strikeouts in 135 innings.

Who will win today's MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Guy Bruhns tip: Take Toronto

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