Computer model makes interesting prediction for Jets-Patriots rematch

The New York Jets and New England Patriots are preparing for their second game of the season and could see a much more competitive game this time around.

Each week, CBS Sports shares the SportsLine computer model's take on every NFL game after simulating each match 10,000 times. The model had an interesting opinion on how the game will turn out, with the Jets heavily favored.

“The Patriots are covering in well over 50% of simulations at home against New York. Both teams have long losing streaks, but New England has recent history in this matchup. In the post-Tom Brady era (2020-present), the Patriots “are 7-2 overall and 6-3 against the Jets,” the staff said. “New England is projected to keep this game close, and the model also projects the Under (41.5) to hit in over 60% of simulations.”

New York goes into the game as a favorite by a touchdown. While a brilliant win may be the most entertaining outcome for Jets fans, the numbers say it shouldn't be counted on.

When the two teams met earlier this year, New York handled business with ease, earning a 24-3 victory. Since that game, neither team has won a game.

There are several reasons why this game could end differently than the last.

The most obvious thing is that this time the two teams will meet in Foxborough. Even if Patriots supporters aren't as excited as they might have been when the team was winning every week, home field advantage is still important.

Another factor in the last game was the fact that it was a short week, the first in Jerod Mayo's coaching career. The team had less time to prepare than they normally would have.

It's still not a normal week this time since New England played in London last Sunday.

Perhaps the most important difference, however, is that the Patriots are using Drake Maye as the starter this time around.

Maye made his NFL debut during the Week 3 matchup, going 4-for-8 for 22 yards. His first two career starts didn't result in wins, but he's clearly a more electrifying player than Jacoby Brissett behind center.

The Jets will simply have to prepare differently than last time. With the franchise desperate for a win, perhaps they can pull off another convincing win despite the changes.