Fox News Decision Desk expects Democrats to keep their Senate seat in New Mexico

Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Democratic Sen. Martin Heinrich of New Mexico will defeat Republican Senate candidate Nella Domenici in a one-shot swing state that is now turning blue.

Domenici, a businesswoman, was hoping to become the first Republican to win a Senate election in New Mexico in 22 years – since her father, the late Sen. Pete Domenici, was re-elected to a sixth term in 2002.

The younger Domenici used her strong political brand and high profile in New Mexico when she fought against Heinrich. She also presented her resume of decades of experience in the financial industry at Bridgewater Associates, where she served as chief financial officer of Credit Suisse and Citadel Investment Group.

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Republican Senate candidate Nella Domenici campaigns on May 14, 2024 in Carlsbad, New Mexico (Domenici campaign)

With his re-election, Heinrich will now represent New Mexico in the Senate for a third term.

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In recent cycles, New Mexico, once the site of general elections, has moved left and is no longer considered a crucial swing state.

Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM) listens during a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee hearing on federal incentives for electric vehicles on January 11, 2024 in Washington, DC. (Anna Rose Layden/Getty Images)

President Biden carried the state by 10 points in 2020.

Additionally, Heinrich won re-election in 2018, a Blue Wave cycle, by more than 30 points.

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