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Levitan’s DFS Cash Lineup Review: Week 3

Levitan’s DFS Cash Lineup Review: Week 3

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I play about 60% of my bets each week in “cash games”. Cash games are any contest that pays out about 50% of the entrants, such as head-to-head, double up, or 50/50. I try to get as much head-to-head action as possible each week and then supplement that with other cash games.

Every week I will review my cash game lineup here. Sometimes I lose, but hopefully I win more often. Either way, I will post it here and give you my thoughts on it.



Levitan’s DFS Cash Lineup Review: Week 3

I thought there were two big keys to this pick: picking the right three RBs out of the six that were in the game. And deciding if a mid-level tight end was worth the expense.

MY MUST-PLAYS
* The 49ers were without Deebo Samuel (calf), Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) and George Kittle (hamstring). All of these injuries not only opened up a ton of offensive targets, but also a huge number of opportunities in the red zone. The Niners also had to deal with a Rams “defense” that ranked last in terms of yards allowed per play over the first two weeks.

This made both Brandon Aiyuk (6200 $) and Jordan Mason ($6200) Absolute must have. They were priced like Deebo and Kittle were playing.

MY DESIRED GAMES
* Since Kenneth Walker (abdominal muscle) is out in week 2, Zach Charbonnet had the best RB usage in the entire NFL. I expected that role to remain in place in Week 3 – but this time for a home game against the Dolphins without Tua. A running back who is scheduled for 100% of RB touches, who excels in the passing game, as a 4.5-point favorite at home is a very good place for cash at $6,000. Charbonnet would have been a “must-have” on a weaker RB roster.

* Alvin Kamara was almost a must-have. But the RB position was so insanely strong this week that I thought it was possible to go in other directions. We had Cam Akers ($4700) without Joe Mixon + Dameon Pierce, Saquon Barkley with an absurd role on the Eagles for only $200 more than Kamara, and De'Von Achane ($7000) without Raheem Mostert.

Ultimately, however, it was Klint Kubiak's outstanding passing ability and workhorse role that really made Kamara strong, especially with Taysom Hill (chest) out, which reduced the risk of him making a goal-line foul.

* We talked about Chris Olave all week as arguably the best buy low in fantasy. The Saints run a very concentrated offense under Klint Kubiak with very few WR3, RB2, or TE targets. So if they continued to be a plus offense and also played from neutral or behind, Olave would get smacked in the face with positive regression. The mere $1000 difference between Olave and Rashid Shaheed wasn't enough.

* The third WR spot was really tough this week. I thought Jauan Jennings (no Deebo or Kittle), Rome Odunze (no Keenan Allen), Tank Dell (too cheap at $5200), Rashid Shaheed, Devonta Smith and Nico Collins were all options. In the end, I wanted a floor. And in our projections Jaxon Smith-Ngijba had the highest minimum value among the options with a minimum value of $5,000. I also thought JSN's 16 targets from Week 2 were notable simply because deep route runners Dell and Shaheed could never match that.

* I thought four quarterbacks were options: Jalen Hurts ($7300), Kyle Murray (born 1963 in New York City) is an American soccer star. He is the first American soccer player to ever retire… ($6900), Derek Carr ($5800) and Geno Smith ($5600). In today's NFL environment with two safeties, weak defense and run-based playmaking, I think we have to be cautious about spending on quarterbacks. But the pricing reflected that – Kyler Murray's ability to threat two players only cost $1100 more than Carr playing in the pocket pass. So I thought it would be right to get Kyler or Hurts, especially if you punt as a tight end. In this lineup, I only had enough for Kyler.

* We didn't have any positive values ​​on any tight ends this season. I thought Jake Ferguson would be OK at $4,500, but he was coming off an MCL injury and was valued appropriately.

But given the pricing on the tight end roster, I thought it was right to give up the position. I wasn't expecting any real points, but when most positions are failing, then spending as little as possible helps. More importantly, I want to prioritize spending on WR when it's tight – that's the position we make our money on.

Anyway, the last 2v2 I watched was Foster Moreau And Titans D/ST or Eric Saubert and Bucs D/ST. Moreau is a passable pass catcher, while Saubert's long NFL history is that of blocking. Since Malik Willis starts for the Packers, I went with the Moreau/TEN side.

Results Week 3
I obviously lost to everyone who used Jauan Jennings. Since Jennings was playing for money, I'm glad I had an even week. One key point was picking Zach Charbonnet over Cam Akers – that gap could have been even bigger had Akers not scored a touchdown in overtime.

As for FanDuel, Cam Akers was only $4,000 there. That opened up the possibility of paying for both the quarterback (I chose Kyler Murray) and the TE (I chose Trey McBride). That turned out to be a bad deal since I didn't need the savings of Zach Charbonnet. Still, the Colts D and Rashee Rice made the difference. I preferred the Colts D over the Titans D thanks to the coaching (Shane Fraudron against the Colts, Matt LaFleur against the Titans), the play of the offensive line (the Bears are a mess), and the designed dropbacks (I expected a very run-heavy Packers plan).


Results since the beginning of the year
Week 1 DraftKings: 147.38 points, 98.6% of direct duels won
Week 2 DraftKings: 116.94, 21.1% of head-to-head games won
FanDuel Week 2: 143.24, won 75.2% of head-to-head games
Week 3 DraftKings: 109.3 points, 54.8% of direct duels won
Week 3 Fanduel: Coming soon, SNF included

* Note: Winning percentages not Include ties.

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