Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees odds, tips and predictions

The New York Yankees (93-67) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday for the second game of a 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's 24/7 MLB odds Pirates vs. Yankees Opportunities and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

The Yankees lost 4-2 to the Pirates on Friday, opening the Finals series for both teams.

New York lost two of three games against the Baltimore Orioles in the series. It is 7-4 in its last 11 games. The Yankees are 43-36 at home and 83-77 overall against the spread (ATS) this season. New York is one game ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top seed in the American League.

The Pirates have balanced wins and losses in their last six games. They have lost two of three games in their last two series against the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds. Pittsburgh is 36-43 away from home and 83-77 ATS overall.

Pirates at Yankees scheduled starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs RHP Luis Gil

Skenes (11-3, 1.99 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He has a WHIP of 0.96, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 131 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 2-0 away win over the Reds on Sunday
• 2024 Away Stats: 5-2, 1.37 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 10 starts
• Never played against the Yankees

Gil (15-6, 3.27 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a WHIP of 1.19, 4.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 146 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-4 road win over Oakland A's Sunday
• 2024 home stats: 6-3, 3.09 ERA (70 IP, 24 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 14 starts
• Never fought pirates before

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Pirates to Yankees victory

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Lines were last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Pirates at Yankees tips and predictions

forecast

Pirates 3, Yankees 2

Money line

BET PIRATES (+115).

The Pirates have a 14-8 record with Skenes on the mound this season and an impressive 7-3 record when he hits the road. Taking all 27 innings into account, they have allowed a total of four runs in his last three starts. He was even more impressive on the road.

New York has struggled lately, losing three of its last four games. 19 runs have been allowed in the last four games. The Yankees are just 2-4 at home in their last six games. Expect these defensive struggles to continue, and vice versa PIRATES (+115).

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

There is no good value for money here. The Pirates are not worth playing as run-line underdogs and are far too expensive. Likewise, the Yankees might struggle to differentiate Skenes on the mound for Pittsburgh.

Avoid this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Pirates have lost in 3 straight games and 5 of their last 6. They have also fallen short in Skenes' last 4 starts, scoring just 13 runs in their last 6 games. Their offense was struggling and they have their ace on the line.

The Yankees are 5-6-1 O/U in their last 12 games and also have a good chance to start the game. Take it in light of the pitchers and recent trends UNDER 7.5 (-120).

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