SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction, October 26, 2024 College football tips, best bets and odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024

Location: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina

TV: ACC NETWORK

Odds/point distribution: Blue Devils (+11.0)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Duke Blue Devils (6-1) will play the SMU Mustangs (6-1) on Saturday, October 26, 2024, at Wallace Wade Stadium. SMU opens as an 11.0-point favorite among Vegas oddsmakers. The total number is 49.

The SMU Mustangs enter the field with a record of 6-1 on the season. In their last match, the Mustangs took on the Stanford Cardinal and claimed victory with a final score of 40-10. On that day, they ran 65 plays totaling 501 yards. The SMU Mustangs ended up running 38 times and recording 179 yards, giving them an average of 4.7 yards per carry. On the ground, the Mustangs gave up 33 yards on 35 attempts, an average of 0.9 yards per run given up. SMU conceded 18 completions on 37 attempts for 173 yards and a 48.6% completion rate.

When it comes to scoring, the SMU Mustangs are averaging 40.7 points per game. As a team, they average 199.6 yards on the ground, ranking 28th nationally. The Mustangs currently have 3,079 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting to the end zone, SMU compiled 13 touchdowns through the air and 16 rushing touchdowns. SMU racked up 162 1st downs on offense and was assessed 55 penalties for 554 yards. They gave the ball away ten times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Mustangs give up 1,614 yards, which ranks them 91st nationally. They concede 230.6 yards per game through the pass and give up a completion rate of 52.5%. Overall, they concede 317.6 yards per game, which ranks them 25th in D-1. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns on the ground. They allow teams to average 2.6 yards per carry and 87.0 rushing yards per contest on the season. On the season, they have allowed 609 yards in seven games. The Mustangs rank 35th in the country in scoring against their opponents with 20.6 PPG.

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The Blue Devils are 6-1 heading into this matchup this year. In their last game, the Blue Devils went home victorious with a score of 23-16 when they faced the Florida State Seminoles. Duke collected 40 rushing attempts for 162 yards (4.1 yards per carry). The Blue Devils pass defense yielded a 46.2% completion rate and allowed 129 yards on 12 of 26 through the air. The Blue Devils finished the game with 180 yards on 59 plays (3.1 yards per play). Duke ran for 3.1 yards per attempt and finished the game with 110 yards on 35 attempts.

The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 327.9 yards per game, ranking 112th nationally. The Duke offense has racked up 338 penalty yards on 39 infractions, which ranks 90th in college football in terms of hurting your team takes. They have averaged 112.4 yards in the ground game and have carried the ball 787 yards this season. They threw 5 interceptions, gave up 2 fumbles and had 119 first downs. In terms of their ability to score, the Blue Devils rank 84th in college football with an average of 25.9 points per game. So far this season, the Blue Devils are averaging 1,508 passing yards and an average of 215.4 passing yards per game, which ranks them 82nd in Division 1.

Duke has allowed 1,072 total yards on the ground this year (153.1 yards per game) and 5 touchdowns on the ground. They have given up 6 passing touchdowns and 153.6 yards per game, which ranks them 6th in D-1. They tallied 7 fumbles and 6 interceptions over the course of the season. The Blue Devils' defense has appeared in 501 games, which is 116th in college football. The Blue Devils are giving up 17.3 points per game, which puts them in 17th place in Division 1. They have allowed 121 points this year.

Who will win the Mustangs/Blue Devils college football game against the spread tonight?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs -11.0

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