Steelers and Cardinals take division lead

The NFL rankings are moving as we head into November.

On Sunday, We saw a lot of wild finishes. The Cleveland Browns provided the ultimate surprise behind Jameis Winstondefeated the Baltimore Ravens, 29-24. In Jacksonville, the Green Bay Packers survived a furious rally by the Jaguars and won for the second time in a row 30:27 after a game-winning kick in the last second.

The top teams also did their business, including the Detroit Lions, Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills, with the latter winning easily on the road.

But what do the playoff races look like? We break it all down below.

After that everything will be updated Football on Sunday evenings And Monday Night Football games. Additionally, All playoff probabilities come from The Athletic's model.

No. 1: Kansas City Chiefs

Record: 7-0, first place, AFC West

Remaining opponents over .500:6

Playoff probability: 99%

The Chiefs defeated the Raiders in Las Vegas and remain 2.5 games ahead of the Denver Broncos and atop the AFC West. Kansas City now returns home for a Monday night date with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers before hosting Denver at Arrowhead Stadium.

#2: Houston Texans

Record: 6-2, first place, AFC South

Remaining opponents over .500:3

Playoff probability: 96%

The Texans picked up a huge victory on Sunday, defeating the Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium to secure their season win over the AFC South's only rival within striking distance. Houston's main concern now is pursuing Kansas City while fending off the stubborn Buffalo Bills.

No. 3: Buffalo Bills

Record: 6–2, first place, AFC East

Remaining opponents over .500:2

Playoff probability: 98%

Buffalo beat the Seahawks in Seattle and now comes home to face the Miami Dolphins (2-5) without much to offer on defense. The Bills appear to be a top-five team in the league, led by an MVP favorite in Josh Allen.

No. 4: Pittsburgh Steelers

Record: 5–2, first place, AFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 5

Playoff probability: 72%

The Baltimore Ravens' loss to the Cleveland Browns moved the Steelers into first place in the AFC North. Pittsburgh plays at home against the New York Giants on Monday night.

No. 5: Denver Broncos

Record: 5–3, second place, AFC West
Remaining opponents over .500: 5
Playoff probability: 45%

Denver could be the surprise of the season. Bo Nix has played better in recent weeks and the Broncos defense has been elite. If Denver can go to Baltimore in Week 9 and win, that's a statement and more.

No. 6: Baltimore Ravens

Record: 5-3, second place, AFC North

Remaining opponents over .500:6

Playoff probability: 91%

The Ravens appeared to be arguably the best team in football, and then they watched Jameis Winston dismantle their defense for 333 pass yards in a 29-24 loss. Baltimore hosts the Denver Broncos in an important AFC game on Sunday.

No. 7: Los Angeles Chargers

Record: 4–3, third place, AFC West

Remaining opponents over .500: 4

Playoff probability: 78%

The Chargers are limited offensively, but they play good defense and have an elite quarterback in Justin Herbert. That could be enough for a spot in the AFC wildcard race.

Indianapolis Colts (4–4): Indianapolis has a big problem at quarterback. Joe Flacco is better than Anthony Richardson, but he's also an aging veteran. Richardson is theoretically the future, but he completes less than half of his attempts. Shane Steichen has a tough decision to make, and soon.

Cincinnati Bengals (3–5): Cincinnati can't stop anyone and gives up another 37 points to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. Next week the Raiders come to the Queen City in a must-win game.

Miami Dolphins (2–5): The Dolphins controlled their game on Sunday, but somehow lost to Arizona. Now Miami travels to Buffalo, a place that has been a horror show for the Dolphins in recent years.

No. 1: Detroit Lions

Record: 6-1, first place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500:7

Playoff probability: 95%

The Lions scored 52 points over the Tennessee Titans in an easy win despite Jared Goff throwing for less than 100 yards. Detroit has a tough schedule ahead of them, but is also the NFC favorite by a wide margin.

#2: Washington commanders

Record: 6–2, second place, NFC East

Remaining opponents over .500: 4

Playoff probability: 78%

The Commanders appeared to be eligible for the wildcard portion of this play, and then Jayden Daniels scored with one Game-winning 52-yard touchdown pass in the last second to Noah Brown. Sometimes a team just has magic.

No. 3: Atlanta Falcons

Record: 5-3, first place, NFC South

Remaining opponents over .500: 5

Playoff probability: 86%

Atlanta went to Tampa Bay and defeated the struggling Buccaneers, with Kirk Cousins ​​throwing four touchdowns. The Falcons host Dak Prescott and the Cowboys in Week 9.

No. 4: Arizona Cardinals

Record: 4–4, first place, NFC West

Remaining opponents over .500:2

Playoff probability: 30%

Who would have thought that the Cardinals would be leading the NFC West after eight games? But Arizona has found a way to beat the Chargers and Dolphins on last-second field goals over the last six days and is in great position.

No. 5: Green Bay Packers

Record: 6-2, second place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 4

Playoff probability: 76%

Green Bay is obviously concerned about Jordan Love's health, but the Packers appear to be a strong contender. After defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars, Green Bay will face the Lions in a showdown for first place at Lambeau Field.

No. 6: Minnesota Vikings

Record: 5–2, third place, NFC North

Remaining opponents over .500: 5

Playoff probability: 75%

Minnesota has suffered two straight losses following its bye week, and the Vikings will be without star left tackle Christian Darrisaw this year with a torn ACL and ACL. Minnesota hosts the Colts on Sunday night in what is suddenly a very important game for both teams.

No. 7: Philadelphia Eagles

Record: 5–2, second place, NFC East

Remaining opponents over .500: 4

Playoff probability: 84%

With the win over the Bengals, the Eagles are making good progress on offense, especially in the passing game. Philadelphia still has questions on both sides of the ball, but the Eagles are 5-2 with the inferior Jaguars on deck.

Chicago Bears (4–3): What a brutal loss for Washington. The Bears have a difficult position ahead of them, and Chicago has a Hail Mary from excellent shape to a non-playoff picture.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4–4): The Buccaneers are on a two-game losing streak, are without Mike Evans or Chris Godwin, and next up are the Chiefs and 49ers.

Dallas Cowboys (3–3): The Cowboys face the 49ers Football on Sunday evenings. We will update once the game is final.