Ted Cruz's chances of losing to Colin Allred in Texas

The latest polls for the 2024 Texas Senate election suggest Republican incumbent Ted Cruz will win re-election ahead of his Democratic rival Colin Allred.

Prognosticators predict Senator Cruz will beat Allred in the Nov. 5 race. Polls also suggest Cruz could win re-election by a larger margin than in 2018, when he beat former Democratic congressman Beto O'Rourke by 2.6 points.

Newsweek emailed Cruz and Allred's campaign teams for comment.

Allred, a congressman who currently represents Texas' 32nd District, is trying to be the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate race in Texas since 1988. If Allred Cruz were to flip the Senate seat, it would play a major role in helping Democrats assert control of the upper chamber, where they currently hold a 51-49 seat majority.

Democrats have suggested that Texas, along with Florida, could be in play for the party in both the presidential and statewide elections on November 5.

On the eve of the election, forecasting and polling website 538 said Cruz had an 83 percent chance of winning over Allred. The Republican also has an average lead of 4.8 points over his Democratic rival (50.4 percent to 45.6).

The Decision Desk HQ/The Hill polling average shows Cruz with a 3.2-point lead over Allred (49.1 percent to 45.9), with the forecaster giving the Republican a 74 percent chance of winning on Tuesday.

Morning Consult's final Senate poll of the 2024 campaign released Sunday gave Cruz a three-point lead over Allred. The poll of 2,120 likely voters was conducted between Oct. 22 and Oct. 31, with results having a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

A Cygnal poll of 600 likely Texas voters conducted October 26-28 showed Cruz with a 4 percentage point lead over the Democratic congressman (49 percent to 45), while Libertarian candidate Ted Brown was at 3 percent is. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

An ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters showed Cruz with a 4.8-point lead over Allred (52 percent to 47). The poll was conducted between October 21 and 27, with the results having a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

A New York Times/A Siena College poll of 1,180 likely voters from October 23 to 26 showed Cruz with a 4-point lead over Allred (50 percent to 46). The error rate in both cases is around 3 percentage points.

On Sunday, Allred wrote on attempted to cast doubt on the results of the 2020 presidential election by citing false claims of widespread voter fraud.

Cruz tried to link Allred to the 2024 Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris.

“Kamala Harris' election results are virtually identical to my opponent's,” Cruz told Fox News. Sunday morning futures. “Colin Allred is Kamala Harris, both are radical leftists, open borders, anti-Israel radicals desperately trying to cover up their record.

“They're hiding out in Joe Biden's basement together, counting on millions and millions of dollars from (Democratic donor) George Soros to try to convince the American people that their voting record is different than it was.”